How good was the corn crop of 1994?
January 12, 1995 2(1):3-4
Joe Lauer, Corn Agronomist
The 1994 corn production year was the best on record in Wisconsin. On November 1,
1994, the Wisconsin Agricultural Statistics Service projected corn to be harvested
from 3.1 million acres with an average yield of 139 bushels per acre and total production
of 430.9 million bushels. Final estimates will be released in January of 1995.
Since 1940, corn yields have increased an average of 1.8 percent per year. The previous
yield record was set in 1991 when corn yielded 119 bushels per acre. The increase
of 20 bushels per acre over the previous record year represents a 16.8 percent jump.
Only three other times in Wisconsin's history has corn yields increased at comparable
rates (Table 1). In 1949, corn yields were 55.4 bushels per acre which represented
a 15.4 percent jump over the previous record year of 1948 when yields were recorded
at 48 bushels per acre. In 1952, corn yield increased 15.5 percent over the previous
record year of 1949. During 1966 corn yields were 88 bushels per acre, an increase
of 15.8 percent over the previous record year of 1965.
Table 1. Years of record corn yield and the percent change over the previous record
year.
|
Year
|
Yield
|
Increase
|
|
bu/a
|
percent
|
1870
|
38.0
|
1.3
|
1900
|
38.6
|
1.6
|
1921
|
39.0
|
1.0
|
1939
|
39.7
|
1.8
|
1940
|
42.0
|
5.8
|
1942
|
46.0
|
9.5
|
1946
|
46.5
|
1.1
|
1948
|
48.0
|
3.2
|
1949
|
55.4
|
15.4
|
1952
|
64.0
|
15.5
|
1956
|
68.0
|
6.3
|
1959
|
71.0
|
4.4
|
1961
|
73.0
|
2.8
|
1965
|
76.0
|
4.1
|
1966
|
88.0
|
15.8
|
1968
|
95.0
|
8.0
|
1971
|
98.0
|
3.2
|
1977
|
104.0
|
6.1
|
1981
|
108.0
|
3.8
|
1986
|
118.0
|
9.3
|
1991
|
119.0
|
0.8
|
1994 (est.)
|
139.0
|
16.8
|
derived for Wisconsin Agriculture Statistics Service bulletins
|
Will 1995 be another record year? Since 1940, there have been 23 record yielding
years or ties (43 percent of the years were records). So far during the 1990's
there have been 2 record yielding years and 1 tie. During the 1980's there were
2 record years and three ties; during the 1970's - 2 record years; during the
1960's - 4 record years; during the 1950's - 3 record years; and during
the 1940's - 5 record years and 1 tie. A record year followed another record
year or tie about 31 percent of the time. There is no reason why another record
year could not take place in 1995, although it would be difficult to repeat the
yield jump of 16.8 percent that was seen during 1994.